Notes made prior to my appearance on RT's flagship programme CrossTalk which is hosted by Peter Lavelle.
Q. Just
what exactly is NATO’s goal in this proxy war against Russia?
NATO's
goal appears to be in the words of U.S. Defence Secretary Lloyd Austin “to
see Russia weakened”, or, as it has been termed, a “bleed Russia” strategy.
However, NATO conduct
is predicated on an overarching desire to bring about regime change in Moscow which
facilitates the coming to power of a leader who will surrender Russia’s
sovereignty.
The present proxy war
provides an avenue for the hybrid war which has been ongoing for decades, that
is, military, economic and informational.
Thus, NATO’s military
aid ensures that Russia continues to be threatened both directly and indirectly.
Ideally, Russia will be forced to expend its resources to the point of
exhaustion so that it is forced into what would be seen as an ignoble retreat
as occurred in the Soviet-Afghan War during which the West gave aid to foreign
and domestic mujahideen.
NATO also serves as
the enforcer of America’s economic interests. The military contractors are not
the only ones to profit, the involvement of Black Rock investment as a
purported vehicle of future national reconstruction is an avenue through which
U.S. commercial interests are catered to.
And on the
information front it provides the optics for painting the Ukrainians as “heroic”
and the Russians as “bestial” and “incompetent”. It is a suitable vehicle to “smash
Putin” to use the words of the former Israeli prime minister Naftali Bennet.
Q. NATO says it is
not part of the conflict and does not want Russia to escalate. At the same
time, long-range missiles are being sent to Ukraine. Isn’t that NATO
escalating?
Objectively speaking,
the introduction of Britain's long-range "Storm Shadow" missiles
represents an escalation since it is a weapon which would inject an increased
capability to the Ukrainian armed forces not previously at their disposal.
Also, given the
presumed sophistication of such a missile and the amount and level of
specialist training that would be required to be given to Ukrainian military
personnel, it not unreasonably invites the conjecture that British military
personnel would be required to operate such missiles.
Assurances
purportedly given by Kiev to London that they will not be used to target
mainland Russia are meaningless given previous Ukrainian attacks inside Russia.
Q. Agree or disagree:
NATO has no interest in a negotiated end to the conflict and Russia has no
reason to trust the west.
Agree.
Thus far all
mechanisms set up to ensure peace have been evidently frustrated by NATO
states. Starting with the Minsk Agreement which former German Chancellor Angela
Merkel and former French President Francois Hollande have admitted was only
entered into to "buy time" to build up the Ukrainian Armed Forces.
Former British Prime Minister Boris Johnson was responsible for flying into
Kiev to dissuade President Volodymr Zelensky from accepting a peace formula
after the Russian intervention in 2022 and former Israeli Prime Minister
Naftali Bennet is also on record as having his efforts to serve as a mediator
blocked by Western powers.
It is difficult to
see how the Russian government can trust the West since relations have been
littered with one broken promise after the other beginning with the pledge
decades ago not to expand NATO "an inch" eastwards in return for
enabling German reunification within NATO.
Q. Do Kiev’s western
backers actually care all that much about Ukraine and Ukrainians?
On the evidence no.
The belligerent
neoconservative-driven foreign policy agenda which has fuelled U.S. foreign
policy for decades, and which appears to have permeated the thinking of EU
states, appears impervious to the idea of seeking diplomatic solutions. The
result has been catastrophic in terms of the depopulation of Ukraine, the
deaths of hundreds of thousands of members of its armed forces and the certain
dismemberment of the Ukrainian state.
The part played by
the political and military leaders of Poland in facilitating war over peace is
regrettable and brings to mind the famous words of Roman Dmowski, the Polish
nationalist, who said that there were many among his countrymen who "hate
Russia more than they love Poland".
It appears that the
neoconservative logic is now firmly impressed on the minds of Ukraine's
European backers. Twenty years ago, Robert Kagan had argued in his book Of
Paradise and Power: America and Europe in the New World Order that
"Americans are from Mars and Europe is from Venus". Alas, being
co-opted into that logic is causing economic distress to European economies and
even greater distress to Ukraine.
I don't quote former
U.S. President Donald Trump often, but he absolutely nailed it when asked by a
CNN interviewer the rather asinine question as to which side he would prefer to
see win or lose in the conflict. His response that he wanted to end the
conflict and prevent more people from dying was the correct one.
The attitude among
Western leaders and the Western mainstream media that Ukraine must win or that
Russia must bleed or to use the words of Naftali Bennett using the war as a
means of continuing "to smash Putin" will only lead to the suffering
and degradation of Ukraine and Ukrainians.
Q. Agree or
disagree: There will be no lasting peace in Europe until the west recognizes
Russia’s security interests.
Agree.
Beginning in the
aftermath of the ending of the ideological Cold War between the United States
and the U.S.S.R., the need for an innovated security architecture for the
European continent was a pressing one. It could have developed out of the
framework of the Organization for Security and Co-operation in Europe (O.S.C.E.)
and might have included an economic dimension centred on measures aimed at
integrating the German economy with that of Russia; a development of Ostpolitik.
A continuing
proactive policy on the part of the West of seeking to force Russia to
surrender its sovereignty is a recipe for continuing conflict. The basis of
peaceful co-existence between Russia and the West ought to be predicated on
trade and Ukrainian neutrality. Neutrality would not merely serve Russia's
interests; it would have contributed to a new raison d'etre for Ukraine which
could have plotted a national destiny much in the manner as Austria and Finland
did after the Second World War.
Europe also needs to
recognise that its own security needs are not being met by slavishly following
U.S. foreign policy which appears to be the ultimate determining factor. What
is needed are European leaders of stronger fibre who can push back at the excesses
of American policy as the likes of Charles de Gaulle and Helmut Schmidt were
able to do during the Cold War. If such leaders were to emerge, this would
arguably lead to the security interests of Europe and Russia being met.
© Adeyinka Makinde (2023).
Adeyinka Makinde is a
writer based in London, England. He has an interest in Global Security issues.